Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#70
Expected Predictive Rating+8.3#61
Pace65.7#218
Improvement-4.3#315

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#30
Improvement-0.2#178

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#162
Improvement-4.1#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 36.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four25.2% n/a n/a
First Round22.7% n/a n/a
Second Round6.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2011 262   Eastern Kentucky W 76-66 93%     1 - 0 +0.6 -5.4 +5.8
  Nov 09, 2011 73   Akron L 58-68 63%     1 - 1 -6.6 -12.3 +5.7
  Nov 12, 2011 205   South Alabama W 80-65 87%     2 - 1 +9.5 +6.1 +3.7
  Nov 17, 2011 104   Texas A&M W 69-60 59%     3 - 1 +13.5 +1.4 +12.1
  Nov 18, 2011 47   Arizona W 67-57 43%     4 - 1 +18.7 +4.8 +14.7
  Nov 21, 2011 309   Louisiana Monroe W 78-63 96%     5 - 1 +1.1 +5.0 -2.3
  Nov 25, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin W 76-50 98%     6 - 1 +8.1 -4.3 +13.3
  Nov 27, 2011 159   North Texas W 82-59 82%     7 - 1 +20.3 +5.8 +13.4
  Dec 03, 2011 37   West Virginia W 75-62 50%     8 - 1 +20.0 +8.0 +12.6
  Dec 10, 2011 267   Troy W 106-68 93%     9 - 1 +28.4 +9.6 +13.7
  Dec 13, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic W 75-68 88%     10 - 1 +1.2 +3.7 -2.1
  Dec 17, 2011 119   @ Detroit Mercy W 80-75 51%     11 - 1 +11.8 +8.9 +2.9
  Dec 22, 2011 226   Northwestern St. W 82-67 83%     12 - 1 +11.6 +6.8 +4.3
  Dec 28, 2011 11   Baylor L 52-54 23%     12 - 2 +12.8 -10.1 +22.7
  Dec 31, 2011 133   Utah St. W 66-64 78%     13 - 2 +1.0 -2.9 +4.1
  Jan 07, 2012 118   @ Arkansas L 88-98 51%     13 - 3 0 - 1 -3.2 +9.3 -11.6
  Jan 12, 2012 51   Tennessee W 62-58 58%     14 - 3 1 - 1 +8.9 +0.4 +9.0
  Jan 14, 2012 32   Alabama W 56-52 48%     15 - 3 2 - 1 +11.4 +0.1 +12.0
  Jan 18, 2012 84   @ Mississippi L 68-75 41%     15 - 4 2 - 2 +2.3 +7.2 -5.4
  Jan 21, 2012 13   @ Vanderbilt W 78-77 OT 16%     16 - 4 3 - 2 +18.4 +10.0 +8.4
  Jan 25, 2012 85   LSU W 76-71 67%     17 - 4 4 - 2 +7.4 +8.5 -1.1
  Jan 28, 2012 16   @ Florida L 57-69 17%     17 - 5 4 - 3 +5.3 -3.7 +7.1
  Feb 04, 2012 140   Auburn W 91-88 78%     18 - 5 5 - 3 +1.8 +17.4 -15.8
  Feb 09, 2012 84   Mississippi W 70-60 67%     19 - 5 6 - 3 +12.5 +6.2 +7.2
  Feb 11, 2012 105   Georgia L 68-70 OT 71%     19 - 6 6 - 4 -0.9 +6.8 -8.1
  Feb 14, 2012 85   @ LSU L 67-69 OT 41%     19 - 7 6 - 5 +7.2 -1.1 +8.5
  Feb 18, 2012 140   @ Auburn L 55-65 55%     19 - 8 6 - 6 -4.4 -3.8 -2.0
  Feb 21, 2012 1   Kentucky L 64-73 16%     19 - 9 6 - 7 +8.5 +2.1 +5.9
  Feb 25, 2012 32   @ Alabama L 50-67 24%     19 - 10 6 - 8 -2.8 -3.5 -2.4
  Feb 29, 2012 157   @ South Carolina W 69-67 OT 61%     20 - 10 7 - 8 +6.2 +3.1 +3.2
  Mar 03, 2012 118   Arkansas W 79-59 75%     21 - 10 8 - 8 +20.0 +17.0 +6.1
  Mar 08, 2012 105   Georgia L 61-71 60%     21 - 11 -5.5 -2.0 -4.7
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 36.5% 36.5% 11.7 0.0 1.0 11.0 21.2 3.2 0.0 63.5 36.5%
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 36.5% 0.0% 36.5% 11.7 0.0 1.0 11.0 21.2 3.2 0.0 63.5 36.5%